'Recruitment freeze'
The confidential document called Operational Strategy Discussion Paper and dated July 2011, looks at how the service will evolve over the next decade and examines "reducing operational costs by up to 20%".
It predicts the closure of most ticket offices by 2016 as more people use contact-less bank cards or Oyster smartcards to pay for their journeys.
Across London 30 ticket offices will remain which will become "travel centres", the paper says.
The strategy document predicts that by 2017 only 20% of trains will be manually operated with drivers in cabs, and beyond 2020 all lines are expected to have "fully remote train operations".
There are also mentions of a recruitment freeze and "imposing" overtime and part-time working.
Are you checking out your groceries by yourself now? How much do you buy online and how much in the store? Music, film and books - digital or physical?
Not only do we face a global pool of possible employees where quite complex work is now routinely outsourced but now even the McJobs are being replaced by Tech.
Not only McJobs. Basic legal services, basic book keeping and accounting are all well done by software now.
Even the office is disappearing. My nephew runs a small company that is completely networked with a host of Cloud based services such as Dropbox keeping the team connected.
So if we only look to the traditional sources of "jobs" for a "job" we are not going to make it.
So what to do? Not entirely sure but I think the direction is to look to creating a new kind of economy where we use our networks to help us make a living and to live.
Where more and more of us grow and process food. Where we share and rent stuff that we need - AirBNB for all things. Where we look after and teach our kids collectively.
That kind of world. For the "Jobs" are surely not coming back. Are we really going to give up all the tech and have people collect tickets, bag groceries, sell us books, do out tax returns?
The new alternative is murky but I am being forced into it myself. I just do not and will not have the money to buy things and services the way I used to. Will you? I increasingly buy local food from small local growers. I borrow and lend gear. I use a Co working Place. I suspect the new real economy is in here somewhere.
Just published today - a new book abut all of this called The Race Against the Machine.
"Digital technologies are rapidly encroaching on skills that used to belong to humans alone. This phenomenon is both broad and deep, and has profound economic implications. Many of these implications are positive; digital innovation increases productivity, reduces prices (sometimes to zero), and grows the overall economic pie.
But digital innovation has also changed how the economic pie is distributed, and here the news is not good for the median worker. As technology races ahead, it can leave many people behind. Workers whose skills have been mastered by computers have less to offer the job market, and see their wages and prospects shrink. Entrepreneurial business models, new organizational structures and different institutions are needed to ensure that the average worker is not left behind by cutting-edge machines.
In Race Against the Machine Brynjolfsson and McAfee bring together a range of statistics, examples, and arguments to show that technological progress is accelerating, and that this trend has deep consequences for skills, wages, and jobs. The book makes the case that employment prospects are grim for many today not because there's been technology has stagnated, but instead because we humans and our organizations aren't keeping up."
Recent Comments