Many people tell me that you cannot see the future. But I think you can see the patterns of history and have a good feel for the probability of the future.
In this chaotic time, having a sense of the probabilities will give you an edge.
Tristan Fischer, my super clever nephew, is writing a new blog that wrestles with these patterns. In his youth, he was the boy wonder for renewables st Shell. Now ancient in his early 30's, he is CEO of a very interesting energy start up. More here.
Here is a typical piece on Shale Gas and why it is a Ponzi Scheme.